Arizona Cardinals evidently have no chance to win the NFC West in 2019 NFL season

Jeremy Cluff
The Republic |
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The Arizona Cardinals have no shot to win the NFC West according to one publication.

And the publication means it.

It gives the team a 0% chance to win the division.

The Washington Post's Neil Greenberg ran a thousand simulated seasons for the NFC West, which also includes the Seattle Seahawks, Los Angeles Rams and San Francisco 49ers.

Kliff Kingsbury's team didn't win the division once in those simulations.

He explains his method:

"The weekly preseason point spreads released by CG Technology in May had the Cardinals getting points in all games scheduled from Week 1 to Week 16 and in Week 17 they face the Los Angeles Rams, who could easily be double-digit favorites at home if they play their starters. If we convert these point spreads to win rates, there is a 48 percent chance Arizona wins just 4 or 5 games in 2019. Five wins is a key number: many sports books, including the Westgate SuperBook in Las Vegas, have Arizona’s over/under win total set at five.

"Think a 4-12 or 5-11 record is bad? Arizona also has a zero percent chance to win the NFC West. When I ran the same win-loss simulations for all the teams in the division — Los Angeles Rams, Seattle Seahawks, San Francisco 49ers and Cardinals — Arizona was the only one that didn’t win the division at least once in a thousand simulated seasons. I thought it was a bug, so I ran the simulations again and the result was confirmed: a 0.0-percent chance at the divisional crown in 2019."

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According to Greenberg, even the Oakland Raiders, who play in the AFC West with the Kansas City Chiefs and Los Angels Chargers, have a 0.6% chance to win their division.

The Miami Dolphins even have a 0.3% chance to win the AFC East even though the New England Patriots have a stranglehold on that division.

The Arizona Cardinals, however, don't even have a 0.1% chance to win the NFC West, according to his simulations.

If you prefer to give the Cardinals a chance, odds released for the NFC West from have the Cardinals at 30-1 to win the NFC West, behind the Rams (2-3), Seahawks (14-5) and 49ers (5-1).

The site has Arizona at 60-1 to win the NFC Championship and 125-1 to win the Super Bowl.

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