ESPN's simulation of the NFL season adores the Packers, but there's a catch
ESPN simulated the entire schedule of NFL games using its projection system, and you probably like the results if you're a Packers fan. Using one of those simulations, No. 1,721 to be precise, the simulation believes the Packers will go 13-3 and grab the No. 1 overall seed in the NFC.
But there's a catch.
The simulation also expects the Packers to fall to the Los Angeles Rams in the divisional round of the playoffs, 30-17. The Rams are seeded fifth in the simulation.
" And just like that, it's over," writes ESPN's Seth Walder. "The Packers' magical season, featuring the league's No. 1 defense and No. 4 scoring offense and Rodgers' resurgence -- it's all gone. The quarterback will still win the MVP, but the 13-win Packers pack their bags without a playoff win. Consider that, in Week 9, the Packers were 8-1, and Los Angeles was 3-5. Now, it's the latter that continues on."
Would you take it, Packers fans? Given the new head coach and uncertainty around this team, 13-3 seems like a whale of a campaign. Of course, it does remind you a little of the 15-1 season that ended with a thud at the hands of the New York Giants in the playoffs.
The simulation includes a 34-27 win over the Chicago Bears in Thursday's opener, a 44-7 win over Philadelphia on Thursday Night Football to go 4-0, and an 8-0 start when Rodgers out-duels Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs.
"Mahomes is no match for the red-hot and revitalized Rodgers," Walder writes. "Rodgers becomes a consensus -1,000 favorite to win the MVP, as most consider it a foregone conclusion at this point. Green Bay is flying at 8-0."
ESPN sees the other NFC seeds, in order, going to the Saints, 49ers, Eagles, Rams and Falcons, and it projects the Saints to defeat the Los Angeles Chargers in the Super Bowl.